(date: 2024-03-03 18:45:41)
date: 2024-03-04, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
No watches are valid as of Mon Mar 4 02:39:02 UTC 2024.
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date: 2024-03-04, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Mon Mar 4 02:39:02 UTC 2024.
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date: 2024-03-04, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0656 PM CST Sun Mar 03 2024 Valid 040100Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are unlikely for the remainder of tonight. ...Northern WI into Upper MI... Thunderstorms are ongoing early this evening across northwest WI, along and ahead of a cold front attendant to a deep surface cyclone centered near the ND/MN/MB border. Strong ascent in combination with steep low/midlevel lapse rates across the region has compensated for generally limited low-level moisture, though buoyancy remains weak, with MUCAPE generally less than 500 J/kg. Small hail and gusty winds will remain possible with these storms as they move across northern WI into Upper MI and over Lake Superior through the evening. See MCD 187 for more information. ...Florida... A downward trend in storm coverage/intensity has been noted over Florida this evening, though an ongoing storm cluster west of Lake Okeechobee could pose a threat for small hail and gusty winds for as long as it persists. Substantial earlier convective overturning over much of the Peninsula and the loss of diurnal heating should contribute to a continued overall weakening trend with time tonight. ..Dean.. 03/04/2024
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date: 2024-03-03, from: NOAA Weather Forecasts
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0333 PM CST Sun Mar 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z A relatively zonal upper pattern will encourage locally dry and windy conditions across the Plains states Tuesday-Wednesday, before dry and windy conditions increase across the southern High Plains later this week in advance of an approaching mid-level trough. Medium range guidance members show some potential for Critical overlapping winds/RH somewhere from the Texas/New Mexico border to the Rio Grande during the Thursday-Saturday period. However, the medium range members vary too much in placement and timing of the aforementioned Critical winds/RH for Critical probabilities to be introduced at this time. Nonetheless, prolonged dry conditions are expected to continue through the week across the southern High Plains, with no appreciable precipitation accumulations expected. As such, Critical probabilities or fire weather highlights will likely be introduced at some point later this week across the southern High Plains once guidance members show better agreement in the placement and timing of conditions favorable for wildfire spread. ..Squitieri.. 03/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
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