(date: 2024-07-07 15:27:30)
date: 2024-07-07, from: Eastern Pacific Basin GIS Data
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 07 Jul 2024 22:25:49 GMT
date: 2024-07-07, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Mesoscale Discussion 1551
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0334 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024
Areas affected...Texas Panhandle/South Plains into
southwestern/central Oklahoma
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 072034Z - 072230Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...A few storms are possible from the Texas South Plains into
central Oklahoma. Discrete storms would pose a risk for large hail,
though severe winds will likely be the predominant threat. Potential
for upscale growth into a cluster/linear segment is possible. Trends
are being monitored for a possible watch later this afternoon.
DISCUSSION...Weak warm advection over the cold pool from this
mornings convection has contributed to the development of elevated
storms in parts of western and central Oklahoma. The outflow itself
has modified and MLCAPE has risen to around 2000 J/kg. With
additional heating and the approach of the cold front, at least
isolated development is possible within the next few hours. Steep
mid-level lapse rates and 30-35 kts of effective shear will promote
supercells capable of large hail and severe winds.
Farther west, cumulus have been deepening in the Texas South Plains
within a weak surface trough. A few additional storms are possible
in this region as well as suggested by some of the latest CAM
guidance. Large temperature-dewpoint spreads here would likely mean
a quicker transition to a linear storm mode and a primary risk of
severe winds.
With storm coverage uncertain, trends will need to be monitored for
a possible watch later this afternoon.
..Wendt/Guyer.. 07/07/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...LUB...AMA...
LAT...LON 34450201 35320125 35629930 35609730 35319673 34529663
33829786 33750040 33500129 33610220 33940232 34450201
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1551.html
date: 2024-07-07, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Mesoscale Discussion 1550
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0312 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024
Areas affected...north-central into much of eastern Colorado
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely
Valid 072012Z - 072245Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent
SUMMARY...Storms are likely to increase along the Front Range this
afternoon, with many producing hail and locally strong gusts as they
continue into the Plains through evening.
DISCUSSION...Visible imagery shows an expansive cumulus field over
much of eastern Colorado where surface winds remain out of the east
and northeast. Weak thunderstorms have developed into far
north-central CO with increasing northern surface winds with high
pressure to the north. Pressures continue to fall near the Colorado
Springs area.
While pockets of drier air do exist around the Denver area, in
general, a moist air mass exists, especially over southeast CO with
mid to upper 50s F dewpoints. Given cool midlevel temperatures,
additional heating will result in sufficient instability to
sustained scattered severe cells. Low-level/weak easterlies below
increasing mid to high level winds will result in favorable shear
profiles for large hail. By evening, storms are expected to
consolidate into an MCS pushing into southeast CO, with damaging
winds possible.
..Jewell/Guyer.. 07/07/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...
LAT...LON 40410325 39680252 38870267 38190345 38050424 38270551
39230539 39850555 40400559 40680553 40900509 40860442
40410325
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1550.html
date: 2024-07-07, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS FOR WATCH 0512 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0512.html
date: 2024-07-07, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 512
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
520 PM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest Oklahoma
Northwest Texas
* Effective this Sunday afternoon from 520 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are developing along a boundary from west
Texas into central Oklahoma. These storms will track southeastward
through the afternoon and evening, posing a risk of locally damaging
wind gusts and hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles east southeast
of Chickasha OK to 45 miles west southwest of Lubbock TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 511...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29025.
...Hart
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0512.html
date: 2024-07-07, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z ...Northwest... On Day 4/Wednesday, the northern periphery of a large-scale ridge centered over the Great Basin will break down, as a belt of moderate midlevel west-southwesterly flow overspreads the Northwest. This will promote an increase in westerly surface winds along/east of the Cascades (especially in the Columbia Basin) -- where hot/dry conditions will remain in place. Elevated to locally critical conditions are expected, though sustained critical conditions may remain localized to the Cascade gaps (e.g., the Columbia Gorge) -- precluding 70-percent Critical probabilities at this time. The strengthening midlevel flow along the northern periphery of the ridge may continue to promote dry/breezy conditions across the Northwest (including northern CA into southern ID) through the remainder of the extended forecast period. However, confidence in any more than locally critical conditions is too low to add additional probabilities. Additionally, thunderstorm potential may increase across parts of the Northwest late in the extended forecast period (i.e., Days 7-8/Saturday-Sunday), as a midlevel moisture plume spreads northward along the western portion of the eastward-shifting large-scale ridge. Confidence in thunderstorm development is too low to add Dry Thunderstorm probabilities right now, though this scenario will be monitored closely. ...Central/Southern CA... An enhanced onshore pressure gradient will continue to support hot, dry, and locally breezy conditions primarily across inland portions of central and southern CA through the period. While this will favor elevated to locally critical conditions, the threat appears too localized for probabilities. ..Weinman.. 07/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/fire_wx/
date: 2024-07-07, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS FOR WATCH 0511 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0511.html
date: 2024-07-07, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 511
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
250 PM MDT Sun Jul 7 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Colorado
Northeast New Mexico
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 250 PM until
1100 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will develop and
increase through late afternoon and early evening, initially
including areas near/east of the I-25 corridor across eastern
Colorado and northeast New Mexico. These storms will be capable of
large hail, and severe-wind potential may also increase as storms
cluster into this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north of Limon
CO to 60 miles south southeast of Raton NM. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30025.
...Guyer
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0511.html
date: 2024-07-07, from: Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc
date: 2024-07-07, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0258 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024 Valid 072000Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MIDDLE/UPPER TEXAS COAST/FAR SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN PLAINS...AND EASTERN COLORADO/FAR NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO... ...SUMMARY... A few tornadoes will be possible along the middle to upper Texas Coast into southwest Louisiana as Tropical Cyclone Beryl approaches the coast and makes landfall later tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are also expected across eastern Colorado, northeast New Mexico, and parts of the southern Plains. ...20Z Update... The Marginal and Slight Risks have been expanded southwestward across western portions of the TX South Plains, where cumulus is increasing this afternoon, and somewhat favorable instability and deep-layer shear are already in place. Uncertainty remains rather high regarding the potential for redevelopment across parts of Oklahoma later this afternoon into the evening, in the wake of substantial antecedent convection and outflow. However, relatively strong heating is underway across parts of southwest/south-central OK, and a few strong to severe storms remain possible by early evening. No changes have been made to the Oklahoma portion of the Slight Risk. No changes have been made to the other Slight Risks. Scattered strong to severe storms are still expected from the CO Front Range into eastern CO/northeast NM. Also, for parts of the middle/upper TX Coast into far southwest LA, the tornado threat is expected to increase late tonight into early Monday morning, as Tropical Cyclone Beryl approaches the coast. See the previous discussion below for more details regarding these areas. ..Dean.. 07/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1155 AM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024/ ...Middle to Upper Texas Coast... Tropical Cyclone Beryl and its outer envelope of strong low-level flow, will continue to approach the Texas coast through much of the period before making landfall tonight. Reference NHC for the latest forecast details. Coincident with the expected strengthening of lower tropospheric flow, low-level shear (i.e., enlarging hodographs) will increase across the middle to upper Texas Coast into southwest Louisiana through tonight, with embedded supercells within the convective bands and transient rotating updrafts potentially posing an isolated risk for tornadoes, especially into tonight. ...Eastern Colorado/Front Range and far northeast New Mexico... Low stratus persists at midday across east-central/southeast Colorado toward the Raton Mesa vicinity, but more aggressive clearing is occurring across northern Colorado. A belt of cyclonic flow aloft will continue to overspread the region with some cooling aloft, while low-level moisture and upslope flow both increase through late today. Storms should develop near the foothills/I-25 later this afternoon and evening, likely with a bit later-than-typical time frame for strong/severe thunderstorm development. Moderate instability and strong shear will support supercells capable of large hail, with some stronger wind gusts also a possibility. Potentially severe storms may continue especially across southeast Colorado/northeast New Mexico much of the night. ...Southern Plains including Oklahoma and North Texas/Panhandle... A semi-organized cluster of storms has evolved across east-central/south-central Oklahoma and may persist eastward early this afternoon with a localized severe risk. Trailing outflow and a residual surface cold pool are considerable factors in its wake, although modification is likely into the afternoon. Storms may redevelop as this occurs, potentially including parts of the Texas Panhandle/Texas south Plains into western/southern Oklahoma and the Red River vicinity, with isolated severe storms possible later this afternoon through early evening. ...Iowa/northern Missouri/western Illinois to northern Wisconsin... Surface pattern will remain relatively weak and ill-defined, but at least widely scattered thunderstorms are expected particularly across northern Missouri into Iowa and western Wisconsin near a weak surface wave/boundary. Even with some cirrus and some residual early day showers, moderate destabilization should occur across the region, with development and intensification of storm clusters this afternoon in the presence of 20-30 kt effective shear. Isolated instances of wind damage is the most probable hazard, but some hail could also occur. Some strong storms could occur as far north as Wisconsin and perhaps the western Upper Peninsula of Michigan, but the overall potential for organized severe storms should remain limited. ...Southern Appalachians... Short-term guidance substantiates the likelihood of scattered thunderstorm development this afternoon, with some potential for storms to cluster by late afternoon across upstate parts of the Carolinas and far northeast Georgia. Mid-level lapse rates will be weak with relatively tall/skinny CAPE, but some localized damaging downbursts may occur.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_2000.html
date: 2024-07-07, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0235 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast reasoning (see below) remains the same, and no changes were made with this update. Locally elevated fire-weather conditions are also possible along the western and southern portions of the San Joaquin Valley (to include the Diablo Range southward into the Antelope Valley) in CA. Here, continued hot/dry conditions will briefly overlap diurnally enhanced, breezy/gusty surface winds during the afternoon. However, any elevated conditions appear too localized and/or brief for highlights at this time. ..Weinman.. 07/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024/ ...Synopsis... A highly amplified ridge will remain in place over the western CONUS through the day on Monday, with modest northwesterly mid-level flow over the Great Basin and southwestern CONUS. RH is expected to be in the 5-15% range across much of this region during the afternoon with fuels which are at least modestly receptive to fire spread. However, due to the lack of a well-defined mid-level flow perturbation, any surface winds necessary for Elevated or Critical fire conditions are expected to be localized and/or transient. Therefore, no highlights have been included on this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html
date: 2024-07-07, from: Central Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones
000
ACPN50 PHFO 071744
TWOCP
Tropical
Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu
HI
800 AM HST Sun Jul 7 2024
For the central North
Pacific…between 140W and 180W:
No tropical cyclones are
expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster
Kino
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=cpac
date: 2024-07-07, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1233 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF EAST TX...WESTERN LA...SOUTHWEST AR... ...SUMMARY... A few tornadoes are possible on Monday from east Texas into western Louisiana and southwest Arkansas, in association with Tropical Cyclone Beryl. ...Synopsis... Tropical Cyclone Beryl is currently forecast to strengthen into a hurricane Sunday evening, and make landfall somewhere along the middle TX Coast early Monday morning, shortly before the start of the D2/Monday forecast period. Beryl is forecast to take on more of a north-northeasterly motion during the day on Monday across east TX, as it begins to become absorbed within a larger-scale mid/upper-level trough moving across parts of the Great Lakes, Upper Midwest, and Great Plains. A weak cold front will accompany this trough across parts of the mid/upper MS Valley and Midwest/Great Lakes. Farther southwest, an outflow-reinforced cold front will move through parts of the southern High Plains into southern NM and far west TX. ...LA/east TX into AR and southern MO/IL... At least a few tornadoes will be possible from east TX into western LA and southwest AR on Monday, in association with Tropical Cyclone Beryl. Some expansion to the 5% tornado probabilities has been made based on the latest guidance and NHC forecasts. A corridor of greater tornado probabilities may eventually be needed, depending on trends regarding the track, intensity, and size of Beryl. Increasing low/midlevel flow along the eastern flank of Beryl will spread across an already very moist environment across parts of east TX and western LA through the day, with tropical moisture eventually spreading northward into parts of AR, southern MO, and the mid-MS Valley by afternoon/evening. While heating will be limited closer to the immediate track, some modest destabilization will be possible to the east/northeast of the center through the day. Strengthening low-level shear/SRH (with 0-1 km SRH increasing above 200 m2/s2) will support potential for a few tornadoes with at least transient supercells, especially within the northeast quadrant of Beryl during the day into the early evening. Some tornado threat could spread as far north as the Ozarks region Monday night as Beryl continues northeastward. Additionally, well in advance of Beryl, a few strong storms could develop from northern AR into southeast MO and southern IL during the afternoon, within a moist and moderately buoyant environment. Midlevel southwesterly flow will be sufficiently strong to support modest storm organization, with a threat of locally damaging gusts. ...Parts of Far West into southwest TX... Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop Monday afternoon across parts of the TX Trans-Pecos vicinity. Relatively moist low-level easterly flow will support both favorable low-level moisture and somewhat elongated hodographs across the region. Moderate buoyancy and sufficient deep-layer shear will support a few stronger cells/clusters, including the potential for a supercell or two with a threat of isolated hail and severe gusts. ...Parts of the upper Midwest/Great Lakes... Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will be possible across a broad region of the upper Midwest and Great Lakes, in association with the mid/upper-level trough gradually moving eastward across the region. Modest buoyancy and modest deep-layer shear could support a few stronger storms, and severe probabilities may eventually be needed if a corridor of somewhat more focused potential becomes apparent. ..Dean.. 07/07/2024
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_1730.html
date: 2024-07-07, from: Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 071705
TWOEP
Tropical
Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM
PDT Sun Jul 7 2024
For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140
degrees west longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not
expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster
Roberts
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac
date: 2024-07-07, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sun Jul 7 02:00:20 UTC 2024.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/
date: 2024-07-07, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Day 1 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0842 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024 Valid 070100Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS... CORRECTED FOR FLIPPED THUNDER LINE ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe storms will continue this evening across parts of the central Plains. A few marginally severe storms will be possible further west into the southern and central High Plains, and northward into the mid Missouri Valley. ...Central Plains/Southern and Central High Plains/Mid Missouri Valley... The latest water vapor imagery shows an upper-level low over the eastern Dakotas, with a shortwave trough extending southward from the low into the central Plains. At the surface, a cold front is located from western Nebraska into southeastern South Dakota, along which a marginal severe threat will continue this evening. Further southeastward into the warm sector, a couple convective systems are ongoing along and to the east of the shortwave trough. An organized line segment is located in far southeast Nebraska, along the western edge of a corridor of moderate instability, where the RAP is analyzing MLCAPE in the 1000 to 1500 J/kg range. WSR-88D VWPs in this area have southeasterly winds at the surface, with winds gradually veering to westerly in the mid-levels. This wind profile will continue to be favorable for linear organization, and a wind-damage threat is expected to continue in the vicinity of far southeast Nebraska and far northwest Missouri this evening. Hail will also likely accompany the stronger cells embedded in this line. Further to the southwest into west-central Kansas, a severe convective cluster is also ongoing along and to the east of a north-to-south corridor of moderate instability. Near this area, the RAP is analyzing MLCAPE in the 1000 to 2000 J/kg range. This convection is located just to the north of the Dodge City WSR-88D VWP, which has 0-6 km shear near 40 knots. This shear environment should be enough to continue a threat for supercells this evening. Supercells will likely be capable of isolated large hail. A few severe wind gusts will also be possible. The ongoing convective systems in Kansas and Nebraska are expected to continue into the late evening, but the severe threat should become more isolated with time as instability gradually decreases across the central Plains. ..Broyles.. 07/07/2024
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_0100.html
date: 2024-07-07, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 510 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..MOORE..07/07/24 ATTN...WFO...DDC... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 510 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-025-033-047-055-057-069-083-097-145-151-185-070140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY FORD GRAY HODGEMAN KIOWA PAWNEE PRATT STAFFORD THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0510.html
date: 2024-07-07, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 510
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
540 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest Kansas
* Effective this Saturday afternoon from 540 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A cluster of thunderstorms will sag southeastward across
the watch area this evening, with a persistent threat of locally
damaging wind gusts and hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles south
southwest of Garden City KS to 25 miles north northeast of Medicine
Lodge KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated
watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 508...WW 509...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30025.
...Hart
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0510.html
date: 2024-07-07, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 509
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
520 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest Iowa
Northeast Kansas
Northwest Missouri
Southeast Nebraska
* Effective this Saturday afternoon from 520 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A cluster of intense thunderstorms over south-central
Nebraska will track eastward through the evening across the watch
area. Locally damaging wind gusts and hail are possible with the
strongest cells.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles north of
Concordia KS to 25 miles east of Falls City NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 508...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27025.
...Hart
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0509.html
date: 2024-07-07, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 509 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE SLN TO 10 N BIE TO 10 ESE OMA. ..MOORE..07/07/24 ATTN...WFO...OAX...EAX...TOP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 509 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC071-145-070140- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FREMONT PAGE KSC005-013-027-043-085-117-131-149-161-201-070140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATCHISON BROWN CLAY DONIPHAN JACKSON MARSHALL NEMAHA POTTAWATOMIE RILEY WASHINGTON MOC005-087-070140- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATCHISON HOLT
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0509.html
date: 2024-07-07, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 508 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE ITR TO 55 SW HLC TO 35 NNW RSL TO 45 W CNK TO 35 SSW HSI TO 25 SSW EAR TO 35 S BBW TO 35 SSE ONL. ..MOORE..07/06/24 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...DDC...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 508 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC051-063-071-089-101-123-135-141-163-165-171-195-203-062340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ELLIS GOVE GREELEY JEWELL LANE MITCHELL NESS OSBORNE ROOKS RUSH SCOTT TREGO WICHITA NEC001-019-035-059-077-079-081-093-099-121-125-129-143-163-169- 181-185-062340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BUFFALO CLAY FILLMORE GREELEY HALL HAMILTON HOWARD KEARNEY MERRICK NANCE NUCKOLLS POLK SHERMAN THAYER WEBSTER YORK
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0508.html
date: 2024-07-07, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 508
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1225 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western and Northern Kansas
Central and Southern Nebraska
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 1225 PM
until 800 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Clusters of storms will continue to develop and intensify,
initially near/north of the Interstate 80 corridor in Nebraska early
this afternoon, but also across northwest Kansas. Storms should
become more scattered/widespread by late afternoon, especially
across south-central Nebraska, where large hail and damaging wind
potential may be most focused.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles north and south of a line from 65 miles south of
Imperial NE to 35 miles east of Grand Island NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
29030.
...Guyer