(date: 2025-04-06 06:07:17)
date: 2025-04-06, from: Eastern Pacific Basin GIS Data
The Eastern North Pacific hurricane season runs from May 15th through November 30th.
date: 2025-04-06, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Mesoscale Discussion 0425
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0734 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025
Areas affected...parts of sern MS through cntrl AL
Concerning...Tornado Watch 131...
Valid 061234Z - 061430Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 131 continues.
SUMMARY...Convection may continue to undergo further organization
and intensification through 9-10 AM CDT, accompanied by increasing
risk for strong surface gusts, and a continuing risk for tornadoes.
DISCUSSION...At least a bit broader, lower/mid-tropospheric cyclonic
circulation appears to be evolving, perhaps including a surface
meso-low now migrating east-northeastward into/across the Demopolis
AL vicinity. Latest Rapid Refresh now indicates a more prominent
south-southwesterly speed maximum associated with this feature,
including 50+ kt in the 850-700 mb layer. Although moisture
characterized by mid 60s+ surface dew points across central Alabama,
between Montgomery and Birmingham still appear to supporting only
modest CAPE (around 500 J/kg sampled in 12Z BMX sounding), low-level
moisture advection and at least some boundary layer warming are
likely to contribute to further destabilization in advance of the
convection during the next few hours. Inflow of this air mass may
be sufficient to support at least a gradual further intensification
of activity during the next few hours, accompanied by increasing
potential for strong surface gusts and a few tornadoes.
Discrete thunderstorm development is also being maintained near/just
ahead of the southern flank of the evolving convective system, and
the occasional intensification of these cells, before merging into
the line, may also be accompanied by increasing potential for a
tornado near the Selma/Montgomery vicinities through mid morning.
..Kerr.. 04/06/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...
LAT...LON 33198688 33358539 32058702 31338798 31068892 32338827
33198688
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0425.html
date: 2025-04-06, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0739 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 061300Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA...WESTERN GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible today across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians into southern Virginia. ...Synopsis... Elongated upper troughing currently extends from the central Plains southwestward through northern Mexico. A shortwave trough embedded within this larger upper troughing is currently moving northeastward through OK, while another embedded shortwave trough exists farther west over northwest Mexico. The surface pattern features a modest low over east-central MS, with a cold front extending southwestward through southeast LA. An outflow boundary also intersects this low, extending northeastward into northern GA. An extensive line of thunderstorms exists along these boundaries in relatively continuous line from south-central MS into northeast AL. The parent upper trough is forecast to gradually move eastward throughout the day, likely ending the period extended from the Ozark Plateau into central Mexico, with the embedded shortwaves making farther eastward/northeastward progression as well. The surface low is also expected to move gradually northeastward, with the cold front and associated convective line moving eastward throughout the day. ...Southeast... The airmass downstream of the ongoing convective line mentioned in the synopsis is characterized by dewpoints in the mid to upper 60s. Thermodynamic profiles are expected to remain relatively warm throughout the day, but the low-level moisture already in place should still support at least modest buoyancy ahead of the line as it progresses eastward. Though the strongest upper-level winds will be behind the front, sufficient mid-level flow parallel to the boundary combined with the modest buoyancy should maintain convective organization. Primary severe risk with this linear convection will be damaging gusts. Moderate to strong low-level flow is expected to persist along and ahead of the convective line as well, resulting in veering low-level wind profiles and enough low-level shear to support embedded supercells capable of wind damage and tornadoes. As mentioned in MCD #425, some near-term (i.e. through mid-morning) increase in convective organization is possible, due to a persistence of the strong low-level flow and deepening meso-low. This increased organization would resultant in a greater potential for strong gusts and/or tornadoes. ...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont... Warmer air aloft is expected to have a greater influence over these regions. With less buoyancy anticipated through the morning/afternoon, convective intensity should remain muted. Given the strong shear across these areas, a few strong to severe storms may produce wind damage. ..Mosier/Kerr.. 04/06/2025
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.html
date: 2025-04-06, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 131 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 245 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Central and Southwest Alabama Northwest Georgia Far Southeast Mississippi * Effective this Sunday morning from 245 AM until 1000 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms continue to gradually move southeastward across the Southeast States. Low-level wind fields remain strong, supporting the potential for damaging gusts and line-embedded tornadoes. Additionally, there is also some chance for a few storms ahead of the main line. Environmental conditions suggest that any persistent discrete storms could become supercellular and capable of producing damaging gusts and tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 135 miles southwest of Birmingham AL to 15 miles southeast of Rome GA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 128...WW 129...WW 130... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Mosier
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0131.html
date: 2025-04-06, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 131 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..KERR..04/06/25 ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 131 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC001-007-009-015-019-021-023-025-027-029-037-047-051-055-063- 065-073-091-099-105-111-115-117-119-121-123-125-129-131- 061240- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUTAUGA BIBB BLOUNT CALHOUN CHEROKEE CHILTON CHOCTAW CLARKE CLAY CLEBURNE COOSA DALLAS ELMORE ETOWAH GREENE HALE JEFFERSON MARENGO MONROE PERRY RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA WASHINGTON WILCOX GAC015-045-047-055-097-115-129-143-149-213-223-233-295-313- 061240- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTOW CARROLL CATOOSA
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0131.html
date: 2025-04-06, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 129 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW PIB TO 20 NE MCB TO 40 WNW MEI TO 5 E CBM TO 20 E CBM. PARTS OF REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 129 MAY BE LOCALLY EXTENDED IN TIME, A COUPLE OF HOURS BEYOND PREVIOUSLY SCHEDULED 10Z EXPIRATION. ..KERR..04/06/25 ATTN...WFO...LIX...JAN...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 129 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MSC023-031-035-061-065-067-069-073-075-077-087-091-099-101-103- 121-123-127-129-061000- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARKE COVINGTON FORREST JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LOWNDES MARION NESHOBA NEWTON NOXUBEE RANKIN SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0129.html
date: 2025-04-06, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 130 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S TYS TO 40 SSE TYS. ..KERR..04/06/25 ATTN...WFO...MRX...GSP... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 130 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC043-113-061040- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY MACON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0130.html
date: 2025-04-06, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 091200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Wednesday/Day 4 to Friday/Day 6... During the mid to late week, a mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to amplify and move southeastward from the north-central states into the eastern U.S. Low-level moisture return ahead of the trough is expected to be slow, which should result in only weak instability ahead of the system. As the trough progresses southeastward, isolated strong thunderstorms will be possible Wednesday night in parts of the central Plains. On Thursday, an isolated severe threat may develop in parts of the Ozarks and Ark-La-Tex. By Friday, the system is forecast to be in the Southeast, where isolated severe storms will be possible in parts of Georgia and the Carolinas. Any severe threat that develops from Wednesday to Friday is expected to be marginal, mainly due to issues with poor moisture return and relatively weak instability. ...Saturday/Day 7 and Sunday/Day 8... On Saturday, a mid-level ridge is forecast to move eastward across the central U.S. Some low-level moisture is expected to return northward into the Great Plains, where instability may become strong enough for a severe threat. However, subsidence in the vicinity of the ridge is expected to keep any threat that develops very isolated. On Sunday, model forecasts suggest that a long fetch of west-northwest mid-level flow becomes established over much of the U.S. Although isolated thunderstorms may form within a somewhat moist airmass over parts of the south-central states Sunday afternoon, large-scale ascent is forecast to remain weak. This, combined with uncertainties at this extended range, suggest that predictability is low.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/
date: 2025-04-05, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Mesoscale Discussion 0416
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0314 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025
Areas affected...far northeast Louisiana...northern Mississippi and
northwest Alabama.
Concerning...Tornado Watch 122...
Valid 052014Z - 052215Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 122 continues.
SUMMARY...A line of storms with embedded supercells continues across
eastern portions of watch 122. A downstream tornado watch will
eventually be needed across northeast Louisiana, northern/central
Mississippi and northwest Alabama.
DISCUSSION...A line of storms with embedded supercells is slowly
drifting east near the Arkansas/Mississippi border. SPC mesoanalysis
shows 2500 J/kg MLCAPE ahead of this activity with 50 to 60 knots of
effective shear. This will support a continued threat for supercells
capable of all severe weather hazards. The JAN VWP currently shows a
relatively straight low-level hodograph where deeper mixing has
occurred. However, winds have remained more backed across northern
Mississippi where some sheltering from upper-level clouds has
occurred. Expect low-level shear to strengthen later this evening as
the low-level jet intensifies closer to 00Z. This cluster of
supercells across southeast Arkansas may eventually congeal into
another bowing segment across northern Mississippi with an increased
severe wind threat this afternoon.
In addition, scattered showers have developed across central
Mississippi within the unstable, uncapped airmass. Most of the
activity has not had any lightning, indicating it is relatively
shallow within the deep moist layer shown by the 12Z JAN RAOB.
Recently some lightning has been observed with the deeper storms
across eastern Mississippi. It is still unclear whether this
activity will congeal into one more more supercells this
afternoon/evening. If a mature supercell can develop, the
environment would support all severe weather hazards including the
potential for a strong tornado.
A tornado watch will eventually be needed for this region by late
this afternoon to early evening for the storms moving out of
northern Louisiana and eastern Arkansas. However, if the storms
across central/eastern Mississippi continue to deepen/mature, a
tornado watch may be needed sooner.
..Bentley/Guyer.. 04/05/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...LZK...
LAT...LON 32989155 34179118 34829040 35038964 34988798 34688746
33498739 32758785 32288895 32288989 32209110 32399163
32989155
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0416.html
date: 2025-04-05, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Mesoscale Discussion 0414
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0234 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025
Areas affected...western Tennessee to far southern Kentucky
Concerning...Tornado Watch 122...124...
Valid 051934Z - 052130Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 122, 124 continues.
SUMMARY...A damaging wind and tornado threat is expected to persist
through the afternoon.
DISCUSSION...A well-developed squall line continues across western
Tennessee. Measured wind gusts have been mostly in the 35 to 45 knot
range recently as the apex of the bow weakened somewhat as it moved
into an airmass featuring low 50s temperatures. The only exception
was a measured 51 kt gust at KHKA at 1917Z on the northern end of
the bow. Some enhancement of this bow is possible over the next 1
to 2 hours as it interacts with a more unstable surface airmass
along the front across southern Tennessee with temperatures in the
low 80s and dewpoints in the mid 60s. In addition, some enhancement
of the low-level jet (between 1 and 2 km) has been sampled by the
KOHX VWP. This will further support maintenance of the MCS and its
associated wind threat, and will also aid in the low-level shear
favorable for some embedded tornado threat. Expect the apex of this
bow to continue to orient along the instability gradient, along and
slightly south of I-40 between Memphis and Nashville, TN.
..Bentley.. 04/05/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...
LAT...LON 35328971 35708947 36128941 36798795 37188678 36988598
36058563 35078624 34868817 34808923 34909022 35328971
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0414.html
date: 2025-04-05, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 122
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
955 AM CDT Sat Apr 5 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern and Eastern Arkansas
Northern Louisiana
Northern Mississippi
Western Tennessee
Northeast Texas
* Effective this Saturday morning and evening from 955 AM until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Severe storms including supercells are expected to
increase through late morning into the afternoon, with tornadoes,
damaging winds, and hail all possible. See Mesoscale Discussion 409
for additional meteorological details.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
north and south of a line from 20 miles south of Longview TX to 35
miles east northeast of Jackson TN. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.
...Guyer
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0122.html
date: 2025-04-05, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 122 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW LFK TO 10 SE SHV TO 25 SE ELD TO 25 ENE LLQ TO 55 SW MEM TO 30 WSW MKL TO 10 N MKL TO 35 NNE MKL TO 40 SSW PAH. ..BENTLEY..04/05/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 122 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC003-017-041-043-107-052140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ASHLEY CHICOT DESHA DREW PHILLIPS LAC013-027-031-049-061-067-069-073-081-085-111-127-052140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BIENVILLE CLAIBORNE DE SOTO JACKSON LINCOLN MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER SABINE UNION WINN MSC003-009-011-027-033-071-083-093-107-117-119-133-135-137-139- 141-143-145-151-161-052140- MS
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0122.html
date: 2025-04-05, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 123 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1235 PM CDT Sat Apr 5 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southwest Louisiana Southeast Texas Coastal Waters * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 1235 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Severe storms are expected to develop this afternoon initially across southeast Texas, before progressing into southwest Louisiana late this afternoon and evening. A moist/unstable environment will support the potential for all severe hazards, including tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 75 miles north of Port Arthur TX to 25 miles south of Houston TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 122... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 24025. ...Guyer
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0123.html
date: 2025-04-05, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 123 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW LFK TO 30 N PSX. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0415 ..LYONS..04/05/25 ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 123 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC011-115-052140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BEAUREGARD VERNON TXC039-071-157-167-199-201-241-245-291-339-351-361-373-407-457- 052140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRAZORIA CHAMBERS FORT BEND GALVESTON HARDIN HARRIS JASPER JEFFERSON LIBERTY MONTGOMERY NEWTON ORANGE POLK SAN JACINTO TYLER GMZ335-430-052140-
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0123.html
date: 2025-04-05, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0259 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 052000Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI INTO WESTERN TENNESSEE... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms, capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail and several tornadoes are still expected from the Sabine River Valley northeastward into the Mid-South and lower Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Strong tornadoes, very large hail, and severe wind gusts are all possible. ...20Z Update... The primary changes made to the 20Z Convective Outlook Update were to trim severe probabilities from the west to account for the passage of the ongoing QLCS over the Mid-South into the Lower MS Valley region. Severe hail may still accompany the stronger storms along southern extent of or immediately ahead of the QLCS. Otherwise, strong to severe surface gusts and tornadoes (a couple of which may be strong) may occur with embedded mesovortices and LEWPs within the QLCS, as well as with any storms ahead of the line. See the previous outlook (below) for more details. ..Squitieri.. 04/05/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1140 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025/ ...East TX/ArkLaTex to Lower Mississippi Valley... Severe storms continue to increase through late morning into midday especially across parts of Arkansas, with the upscale-growing MCS/bow echo near/northeast of the Little Rock area as of 1130 CDT. A 60 kt wind gust was recently measured at KLRF/North Little Rock. This bowing MCS should continue to favor the zone near/immediately north of the effective boundary that precedes it (roughly parallel to I-40), likely taking it into western Tennessee this afternoon, potentially near the Memphis metro vicinity. See Mesoscale Discussion 411 for additional details. A Moderate Risk upgrade has been introduced for this scenario, as well as potential semi-discrete warm-sector development later this afternoon to its south. Within the axis of a strong low-level jet (south-southwesterly 50-60 kt across the ArkLaTex and ArkLaMiss), supercell longevity/tornado potential will be maximized with any diurnal warm-sector development that occurs away from (east-southeast of) the outflow-reinforced effective front, although the extent of that my tend to be somewhat curbed by persistent cloud cover and semi-mild mid-level temperatures (-9 or -10C at 500mb) into the warm sector. Additionally, deep-layer shear vectors will be largely parallel to the effective front regionally, suggestive of a mixed convective mode including HP supercells/smaller-scale bows in close proximity to the convectively modified effective front. The front will become more east/southeastward-progressive later this afternoon and tonight across east/southeast Texas, southern Arkansas, and Louisiana. Overall, some tornadoes are expected regionally, a few of which could be strong, aside from damaging winds and isolated large hail. ...Mid-South into the TN/OH Valleys... Farther north, the boundary will be less progressive throughout the morning/early afternoon, particularly north of a weak low currently over northeast Texas. The boundary will likely sharpen during this time, before then becoming more progressive once again as the convectively augmented shortwave trough currently moving into western Oklahoma progresses into the region. This will likely result in a bowing line segment with damaging gusts as the primary severe risk. However, given the strength of the low-level flow, some embedded tornado potential exists as well.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_2000.html
date: 2025-04-05, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0155 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA INTO THE EASTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... A marginal wind-damage threat is possible on Monday across parts of the southern Atlantic Seaboard into northern Florida. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A positive-tilt upper trough will sweep across the Southeast and Mid Atlantic on Monday with a cold front rapidly moving to the East Coast by 00Z. Widespread rain and thunderstorms will be ongoing throughout the period along the front, and a few strong gusts cannot be ruled out. Forecast soundings depict poor mid/upper lapse rates and weak instability ahead of the front. However, the combination of steepening low-level lapse rates/favorable time of day and moderate deep-layer mean winds may support sporadic strong wind gusts. ..Jewell.. 04/05/2025
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk_1930.html
date: 2025-04-05, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS FOR WATCH 0124 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0124.html
date: 2025-04-05, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 124
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
145 PM CDT Sat Apr 5 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northwest Alabama
Southern Kentucky
Western and Middle Tennessee
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 145 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A well-organized bow echo will continue east-northeastward
this afternoon, while other semi-discrete supercells may develop
ahead of it, and southward into the warm sector.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
north and south of a line from 65 miles north northwest of Muscle
Shoals AL to 55 miles east of Nashville TN. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 122...WW 123...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 23040.
...Guyer
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0124.html
date: 2025-04-05, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0100 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z The Elevated area was expanded slightly based on the latest high-resolution forecast guidance as minimum RH is forecast to be 30-40% with winds of 10-15 mph and temperatures in the mid 80s to low 90s. Temperatures will be 5-20F above normal from Florida into the Carolinas ahead of the approaching cold front. Winds will be stronger (sustained around 15 mph gusting 20-25 mph) farther north in portions of southern Georgia and the eastern Carolinas where locally elevated conditions remain possible in the pre-frontal environment, but RH is likely to be higher (35-50%) with fuels not quite as dry. ..Nauslar.. 04/05/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0150 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A deep mid-level shortwave trough over the southern Plains will move eastward throughout the day on Sunday, inducing a surface low across portions of the southeast US. This will advect a relatively dry air mass inland on the Florida peninsula, where mixing may decrease the RH to near-critical values across parts of the region while bringing down some higher momentum from aloft. The fuels in the region should continue to dry through the period and are expected to be near the 90th percentile ERCs. For these reasons, have introduced an Elevated highlight across portions of the Florida peninsula for Sunday. This area may need to be expanded northward into north Florida and southeast Georgia in subsequent outlooks. However, uncertainty on exactly how low the RH will be in these regions as well as uncertainties on fuel dryness preclude highlighting these regions at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html
date: 2025-04-05, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1203 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER ALABAMA AND INTO PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians. ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a positive-tilt trough will move slowly east out of the southern Plains and across the lower to mid MS Valley, with gradually increasing southwesterlies aloft across the Gulf Coast states. A weak surface low will move out of MS and across northern AL during the day, then northeastward across the western Carolinas overnight. A rain-reinforced front will extend south from the low, from northern AL into eastern MS and LA, with another boundary extending from TN into VA. A very moist air mass will exist across the warm sector, with moderate shear supporting scattered severe storms. ...Eastern MS and LA...AL... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing along the cold front early on Sunday where MUCAPE will be on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg. Severe potential will be mitigated somewhat due to the relatively warm profiles aloft, however, veering winds with height and around 50 kt at 850 mb may support embedded supercells within the line, with both wind and brief tornado potential. Depending on the degree of outflow/convective contamination early in the day, a slightly better corridor of tornado threat could materialize. ..Jewell.. 04/05/2025
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_1730.html
date: 2025-04-05, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK CORR 1 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1148 AM CDT SAT APR 05 2025 CORRECTED FOR AREA ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Mid-South and Lower Mississippi Valley this afternoon and evening... * LOCATIONS... Western Tennessee Eastern Arkansas Northern Mississippi Northwest Alabama Louisiana East Texas * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force Several tornadoes, a few intense Scattered large hail, some baseball size * SUMMARY... Severe storms, capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail and several tornadoes are expected from the Sabine River Valley northeastward into the Mid-South and lower Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Strong tornadoes, very large hail, and severe wind gusts are all possible. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/pwo.html
date: 2025-04-05, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1140 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 051630Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN ARKANSAS...WESTERN TENNESSEE...AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms, capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail and several tornadoes are expected from the Sabine River Valley northeastward into the Mid-South and lower Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Strong tornadoes, very large hail, and severe wind gusts are all possible. ...East TX/ArkLaTex to Lower Mississippi Valley... Severe storms continue to increase through late morning into midday especially across parts of Arkansas, with the upscale-growing MCS/bow echo near/northeast of the Little Rock area as of 1130 CDT. A 60 kt wind gust was recently measured at KLRF/North Little Rock. This bowing MCS should continue to favor the zone near/immediately north of the effective boundary that precedes it (roughly parallel to I-40), likely taking it into western Tennessee this afternoon, potentially near the Memphis metro vicinity. See Mesoscale Discussion 411 for additional details. A Moderate Risk upgrade has been introduced for this scenario, as well as potential semi-discrete warm-sector development later this afternoon to its south. Within the axis of a strong low-level jet (south-southwesterly 50-60 kt across the ArkLaTex and ArkLaMiss), supercell longevity/tornado potential will be maximized with any diurnal warm-sector development that occurs away from (east-southeast of) the outflow-reinforced effective front, although the extent of that my tend to be somewhat curbed by persistent cloud cover and semi-mild mid-level temperatures (-9 or -10C at 500mb) into the warm sector. Additionally, deep-layer shear vectors will be largely parallel to the effective front regionally, suggestive of a mixed convective mode including HP supercells/smaller-scale bows in close proximity to the convectively modified effective front. The front will become more east/southeastward-progressive later this afternoon and tonight across east/southeast Texas, southern Arkansas, and Louisiana. Overall, some tornadoes are expected regionally, a few of which could be strong, aside from damaging winds and isolated large hail. ...Mid-South into the TN/OH Valleys... Farther north, the boundary will be less progressive throughout the morning/early afternoon, particularly north of a weak low currently over northeast Texas. The boundary will likely sharpen during this time, before then becoming more progressive once again as the convectively augmented shortwave trough currently moving into western Oklahoma progresses into the region. This will likely result in a bowing line segment with damaging gusts as the primary severe risk. However, given the strength of the low-level flow, some embedded tornado potential exists as well. ..Guyer/Lyons.. 04/05/2025
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1630.html
date: 2025-04-05, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
No watches are valid as of Sat Apr 5 12:34:01 UTC 2025.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/
date: 2025-04-05, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sat Apr 5 12:34:01 UTC 2025.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/
date: 2025-04-04, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Mesoscale Discussion 0397
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0333 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025
Areas affected...Northeast TX...southeast OK...western AR
Concerning...Tornado Watch 113...114...
Valid 042033Z - 042200Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 113, 114 continues.
SUMMARY...Maturing supercells will pose an increasing tornado threat
this afternoon.
DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells have developed over the last hour
across northeast TX, in the immediate vicinity of a slow-moving cold
front that extends from southeast OK into central TX. The 18Z SHV
sounding is representative of the environment across the region,
with very rich low-level moisture, large to extreme MLCAPE,
deep-layer shear sufficient for supercells, and a rather strong
low-level jet.
A corridor of increasing short-term tornado threat is evident from
northeast TX into far southeast OK and western AR, where locally
backed surface winds are resulting in 0-1 km SRH of 150-250 m2/s2.
This combination of favorable buoyancy, boundary-layer moisture, and
relatively strong low-level shear/SRH will support an increasing
tornado threat with any sustained supercells, including significant
(EF2+) tornado potential. Large hail and damaging winds could also
accompany the strongest cells.
..Dean.. 04/04/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...
LAT...LON 31889648 32739620 33549548 34629455 35499358 35179295
34369299 32779455 31879567 31889648
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0397.html
date: 2025-04-04, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Mesoscale Discussion 0396
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0329 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025
Areas affected...southern Kentucky and northern Tennessee
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 042029Z - 042300Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage and
intensity through the afternoon across the area. Convective trends
will be monitored for the possibility of a watch.
DISCUSSION...Warm sector convection has slowly deepened with time
with some intensification of cells as they cross over the stationary
front in southeastern Kentucky. Updraft intensity so far has been
muted by a warm layer around 700 mb, but additional destabilization
and subtle height falls into the evening should result in more
robust updraft development over the next few hours. Modest
low-level shear (per local VWPs) should support some tornado
potential, especially along the surface boundary, but damaging winds
and hail should be the primary threats with the strongest storms.
With storm motion predominantly to the northeast, storms will
eventually cross to the cool side of the boundary, resulting in hail
being the primary threat and eventual weakening of storms. The
coverage and intensity of storms will be monitored regarding the
need for a watch.
..Jirak/Thompson.. 04/04/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...PAH...
LAT...LON 37248698 37718627 37888512 37818426 37738321 37458279
36968283 36528334 36298384 36118467 36038531 36018635
36118697 36148701 36438723 37248698
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0396.html
date: 2025-04-04, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS FOR WATCH 0117 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0117.html
date: 2025-04-04, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 117
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
500 PM EDT Fri Apr 4 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
South central and southeast Kentucky
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 500 PM until
1000 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Isolated warm sector supercells will persist through the
afternoon/evening with the potential to produce large hail of 1-2
inches in diameter and isolated damaging gusts of 60-70 mph.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles west northwest
of Bowling Green KY to 25 miles south southeast of Jackson KY. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 113...WW 114...WW
115...WW 116...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25025.
...Thompson
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0117.html
date: 2025-04-04, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 113
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1255 PM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southwest, central and northern Arkansas
Extreme northwest Louisiana
Extreme southeast Oklahoma
Northeast Texas
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 1255 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to
2.5 inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
SUMMARY...Supercell development is expected along a surface front
and into the warm sector this afternoon from northeast Texas
northeastward into Arkansas. The storm environment will support the
potential for a few strong (EF2-EF3) tornadoes, very large hail to
2.5 inches in diameter, and damaging gusts up to 75 mph as storms
congeal into multiple clusters later this afternoon.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles east northeast of Flippin AR
to 60 miles south southwest of Texarkana AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.
...Thompson
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0113.html
date: 2025-04-04, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 113 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/04/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 113 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC005-009-013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-049-051-053-057-059- 061-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-081-083-085-089-091-097-099-101- 103-105-109-113-115-117-119-121-125-127-129-133-135-137-141-145- 147-149-042140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAXTER BOONE CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS FAULKNER FULTON GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN LONOKE MARION MILLER MONTGOMERY NEVADA NEWTON OUACHITA PERRY PIKE POLK POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI RANDOLPH SALINE SCOTT SEARCY SEVIER SHARP STONE VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF YELL
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0113.html
date: 2025-04-04, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 114 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/04/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 114 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC001-041-051-145-161-185-213-225-289-293-313-331-349-395-455- 467-471-042140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON BRAZOS BURLESON FALLS FREESTONE GRIMES HENDERSON HOUSTON LEON LIMESTONE MADISON MILAM NAVARRO ROBERTSON TRINITY VAN ZANDT WALKER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0114.html
date: 2025-04-04, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 115
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
255 PM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northeast Arkansas
Extreme southern Illinois
Western Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Norhern Mississippi
Western and Middle Tennessee
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Widely scattered supercell development is expected this
afternoon from northern Mississippi across western/Middle Tennessee
into western Kentucky. The storm environment supports the potential
for several tornadoes (including an isolated strong tornado), large
hail up to 2 inches in diameter, and isolated damaging gusts. The
potential for damaging winds up to 75 mph will increase later this
evening into early tonight as storm clusters spread into southeast
Missouri from Arkansas.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles east northeast of Paducah KY
to 25 miles south southwest of Memphis TN. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 113...WW 114...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24025.
...Thompson
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0115.html
date: 2025-04-04, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 114
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 PM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
East central and southeast Texas
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 225 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will intensify along and east of a
slow-moving front across east and southeast Texas through the
afternoon/evening. The storm environment will favor supercells
capable of producing isolated very large hail (up to 2.5 inches in
diameter), damaging gusts of 60-70 mph, and a few tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 20 miles north northeast of Longview TX
to 35 miles west southwest of College Station TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 113...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 22030.
...Thompson
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0114.html
date: 2025-04-04, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 115 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/04/25 ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 115 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC021-031-035-037-055-077-093-107-111-123-042140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS GREENE LEE MISSISSIPPI PHILLIPS POINSETT ST. FRANCIS ILC003-069-087-127-151-153-181-042140- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER HARDIN JOHNSON MASSAC POPE PULASKI UNION KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-075-083-105-107-139-143-145-157-177- 219-221-042140- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0115.html
date: 2025-04-04, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 116
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
345 PM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Exteme west central Arkansas
Extreme east central Oklahoma
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 345 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Supercells along a stalled front will move into the area
of east central Oklahoma and west central Arkansas (close to Fort
Smith) just to the west of the earlier tornado watch to the east in
Arkansas. A couple of tornadoes, including the chance for a strong
tornado, large hail and wind damage will all be possible this
afternoon/evening before the storms shift farther east into
Arkansas.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 20 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles northeast of Fort Smith AR to
40 miles south southwest of Poteau OK. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 113...WW 114...WW 115...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 22040.
...Thompson
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0116.html
date: 2025-04-04, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 116 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/04/25 ATTN...WFO...TSA... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 116 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC047-131-042140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FRANKLIN SEBASTIAN OKC079-042140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LE FLORE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0116.html
date: 2025-04-04, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Mesoscale Discussion 0392
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0706 AM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025
Areas affected...parts of nern OK...nrn AR...sern KS...srn and cntrl
MO
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 112...
Valid 041206Z - 041400Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 112
continues.
SUMMARY...The risk for severe hail is expected to lessen with time
as an evolving cluster of thunderstorms overspreads southern into
central Missouri through 9-11 AM CDT. A new severe weather watch
probably will not be needed, but trends will continue to be
monitored.
DISCUSSION...Rapid east-northeastward progression of the
lower/mid-tropospheric forcing for ascent and associated stronger
convective development, near the leading edge of northward returning
plume of elevated mixed layer air, continues. Through 14-16Z, the
primary clustering of thunderstorm activity appears likely to
overspread areas near and south of the Missouri Interstate 44
corridor, toward the Greater St. Louis vicinity. This is getting
further removed from the stalled, sharp surface frontal zone now
across/just south of the Memphis through Texarkana vicinities.
However, models suggest that moisture return above the cold
surface-based air is maintaining inflow of air characterized by CAPE
in excess of 1000 J/kg.
With convection continuing to consolidate into less discrete
elements the risk for severe hail seems likely to lessen with
northeastward progression. A few gusts approaching severe limits
have recently been observed to the southeast of Tulsa. However,
barring the development of a more substantive surface pressure
perturbation, which may not be out of the question, but seems low in
probability, the risk for severe surface gusts probably will not
increase.
..Kerr.. 04/04/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...ICT...
LAT...LON 37649399 38629106 37089000 35799179 35249316 35079423
36649578 37649399
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0392.html
date: 2025-04-04, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 112 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N PRX TO 35 SSW MLC TO 15 SW MKO TO 25 S TUL. ..KERR..04/04/25 ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SGF...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 112 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC007-009-015-033-047-071-083-087-097-101-113-115-127-131-143- 149-041340- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON BOONE CARROLL CRAWFORD FRANKLIN JOHNSON LOGAN MADISON MONTGOMERY NEWTON POLK POPE SCOTT SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON YELL KSC021-041340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEROKEE MOC009-043-077-097-109-119-145-209-213-041340- MO
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0112.html
date: 2025-04-04, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 112
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
445 AM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northwest Arkansas
Far Southwest Missouri
Eastern/Northeastern Oklahoma
* Effective this Friday morning from 445 AM until 1100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm coverage is expected to increase across
eastern/northeastern OK, northwestern AR, and southwestern MO over
the next several hours. Environmental conditions support cellular
storms capable of producing large hail. A few damaging gusts are
possible as well.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles southwest of
Mcalester OK to 50 miles east of Fayetteville AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 110...WW 111...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Mosier
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0112.html
date: 2025-04-04, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 111 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE DUA TO 30 ENE ADM TO 35 NNW ADM. ..KERR..04/04/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 111 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-027-029-063-087-123-125-133-041240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA CLEVELAND COAL HUGHES MCCLAIN PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0111.html
date: 2025-04-04, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 110 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 W MWL TO 45 WNW SJT TO 25 SSE BGS. REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 110 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 04/10Z. ..KERR..04/04/25 ATTN...WFO...SJT...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 110 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC081-083-151-207-253-353-417-431-441-447-041000- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COKE COLEMAN FISHER HASKELL JONES NOLAN SHACKELFORD STERLING TAYLOR THROCKMORTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0110.html
date: 2025-04-03, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Mesoscale Discussion 0382
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0343 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025
Areas affected...Northeast TX into northwest LA and southern AR
Concerning...Tornado Watch 109...
Valid 032043Z - 032215Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 109 continues.
SUMMARY...Storm intensification is possible by late afternoon.
Tornadic supercells remain possible near/south of the front, in
addition to a threat of severe hail and wind.
DISCUSSION...Some increase in deep convection has been noted across
northeast TX, along and south/east of an outflow-reinforced surface
front draped from northern MS into southern AR and northeast TX. The
environment remains quite favorable for tornadic supercells within
the warm sector in this region, with the 19Z SHV sounding depicting
MLCAPE in excess of 3000 J/kg, 60 kt of effective shear, and 0-1 km
SRH of greater than 200 m2/s2. However, in the absence of stronger
large-scale ascent, it remains uncertain if any supercells can
mature prior to moving to the cool side of the surface front. Any
sustained surface-based supercells could pose some threat of
significant (EF2+) tornadoes within this environment. Otherwise, a
threat for severe hail (possibly greater than 2 inches in diameter)
and damaging wind will accompany any supercells (surface-based or
elevated) within this regime.
..Dean.. 04/03/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV...
LAT...LON 32569276 31519396 31329450 31539507 32019522 32349522
32889512 33549398 34309154 33689144 33229151 33009203
32939217 32569276
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0382.html
date: 2025-04-03, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Mesoscale Discussion 0381
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0331 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025
Areas affected...Portions of West Virginia and northern Virginia
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 032031Z - 032300Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Storms moving into West Virginia may pose a threat of
severe weather this afternoon and evening. Convective trends will
continue to be monitored, although a watch appears unlikely at this
time.
DISCUSSION...Despite midlevel height rises across the area,
low-level warm-air advection continues to support thunderstorm
development across eastern Kentucky. The storms are expected to
continue moving eastward across West Virginia, though high clouds
and poorer boundary-layer moisture (per 18Z RNK sounding) have
limited destabilization. With low-level flow (and attendant warm
advection) forecast to increase into the evening, there is a threat
for the convection to persist. Given the sufficient low-level and
deep-layer shear across the area, these storms will have the
potential to produce damaging winds, hail, and a tornado. Trends
will be monitored through the evening, but a watch appears to be
unlikely at this time.
..Jirak/Guyer.. 04/03/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RNK...RLX...JKL...
LAT...LON 37968246 38258201 38258094 38437951 39007785 38357744
37577755 37427861 37207996 37208091 37158158 37408235
37968246
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0381.html
date: 2025-04-03, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Mesoscale Discussion 0379
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0211 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025
Areas affected...eastern Kentucky
Concerning...Tornado Watch 107...
Valid 031911Z - 032115Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 107 continues.
SUMMARY...Storms across eastern Kentucky continue to pose a threat
of damaging winds, hail, and tornadoes this afternoon.
DISCUSSION...Sustained low-level warm-air advection continues to
support thunderstorms across eastern Kentucky. Afternoon insolation
and a narrow axis of better moisture (upper 60s dewpoints) extending
into eastern Kentucky have resulted in MLCAPE values approaching
1000 J/kg. The deep-layer flow and shear (over 50 kts per
mesoanalysis and local VWPs) are more than sufficient for organized
storm modes. Currently, the dominant convective mode of north-south
oriented bands along the differential heating zone seems to favor
severe-wind potential at this time; however, the strong low-level
shear would support tornado potential pending a more favorable
convective mode.
..Jirak.. 04/03/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...JKL...LMK...
LAT...LON 37058597 37458492 37808397 37838326 37858314 37768271
37498253 37238280 37158316 37078347 36998401 36778495
36728558 36728576 37058597
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0379.html
date: 2025-04-03, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 109 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0382 ..DEAN..04/03/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 109 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC001-003-011-013-017-025-027-039-041-043-057-069-073-079-081- 091-095-099-103-139-032140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY CALHOUN CHICOT CLEVELAND COLUMBIA DALLAS DESHA DREW HEMPSTEAD JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LINCOLN LITTLE RIVER MILLER MONROE NEVADA OUACHITA UNION LAC015-017-027-111-119-032140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BOSSIER CADDO CLAIBORNE UNION WEBSTER
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0109.html
date: 2025-04-03, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 109
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
210 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Arkansas
Northern Louisiana
Northwest Mississippi
Northeast Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...As the atmosphere continues to destabilize, severe storms
including supercells are expected to develop near a frontal boundary
that extends generally southwest-northeast across the region. Any
storms that develop near/south of the boundary could pose a tornado
risk, aside from large hail and damaging winds.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
north and south of a line from 10 miles south of Tyler TX to 50
miles north of Greenville MS. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 107...WW 108...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.
...Guyer
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0109.html
date: 2025-04-03, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 108
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
200 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Arkansas
Southeast Oklahoma
Northeast Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 200 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe storms will continue to
increase this afternoon to the north of a front, with large hail as
the most common hazard with the more vigorous storms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles west of De
Queen AR to 35 miles southeast of Batesville AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 107...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
23035.
...Guyer
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0108.html
date: 2025-04-03, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 108 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..04/03/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 108 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC019-023-029-045-051-053-059-061-063-067-071-083-085-097-101- 105-109-113-115-117-119-125-127-129-133-137-141-145-147-149- 032140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK CLEBURNE CONWAY FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT HOT SPRING HOWARD INDEPENDENCE JACKSON JOHNSON LOGAN LONOKE MONTGOMERY NEWTON PERRY PIKE POLK POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE SCOTT SEARCY SEVIER STONE VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF YELL OKC089-032140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MCCURTAIN
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0108.html
date: 2025-04-03, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 107 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0380 ..DEAN..04/03/25 ATTN...WFO...MEG...LMK...JKL...OHX...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 107 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC035-077-107-032140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRITTENDEN LEE PHILLIPS KYC001-003-009-013-025-045-051-053-057-095-109-119-121-125-129- 131-133-137-147-169-171-189-193-199-203-207-213-231-235- 032140- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN BARREN BELL BREATHITT CASEY CLAY CLINTON CUMBERLAND HARLAN JACKSON KNOTT KNOX LAUREL LEE LESLIE LETCHER LINCOLN MCCREARY METCALFE MONROE OWSLEY PERRY PULASKI ROCKCASTLE RUSSELL SIMPSON
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0107.html
date: 2025-04-03, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 107 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Eastern Arkansas South-central and Southeast Kentucky Northern Mississippi Western and Middle Tennessee * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 1250 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Severe storms including supercells are expected to develop this afternoon near a boundary that extends generally southwest-to-northeast across the region. A moist environment and strong low-level shear will support tornado potential aside from damaging winds and hail. The severe/tornado risk could persist well through the evening. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles north and south of a line from 65 miles southwest of Memphis TN to 15 miles southeast of Jackson KY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 23035. ...Guyer
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0107.html
date: 2025-04-03, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025 Valid 031700Z - 041200Z Eastern extent of Elevated highlights in portions of eastern New Mexico and the far western Texas Panhandle was trimmed slightly back to the west. This is to account for recent precipitation and considerably higher relative humidity, which should continue to overspread far eastern New Mexico from portions northwestern Texas through the day. Otherwise, the previous forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Squitieri/Williams.. 04/03/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025/ ...Synopsis... Within the base of a highly amplified large-scale trough over the West, a 70-80-kt midlevel southwesterly speed maximum will emerge over the southern High Plains. In response, a weak lee cyclone will develop over southeast CO, while another broad/weak surface cyclone forms along the tail end of a front south of the TX Big Bend. Aided by downslope flow and diurnal heating on the western edge of increasing cloud coverage, a corridor of 15-20 percent RH will develop from southern NM northeastward to far southeast CO. Here, around 15-20 mph sustained southwesterly surface winds will favor elevated fire-weather conditions. Locally elevated fire-weather conditions are also possible over the TX Big Bend, where dry/breezy conditions are expected north of the surface cyclone. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html
date: 2025-04-03, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Mesoscale Discussion 0375
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0638 AM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025
Areas affected...north Texas and southeast OK
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 106...
Valid 031138Z - 031345Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 106
continues.
SUMMARY...Elevated cells will continue to pose a large hail risk
this morning across portions of north Texas into southeast Oklahoma.
DISCUSSION...A couple of strong, elevated supercells across western
north TX will continue to shift east through the morning. This
activity is occurring in a warm advection regime atop a stalled
surface boundary draped across north/north-central Texas eastward to
the AR/LA border. Steep midlevel lapse rates are contributing to
modest elevated instability, with MUCAPE values around 1000-2000
J/kg noted in latest mesoanalysis. Additional cells may develop
within this regime through the morning hours and large hail
potential may persist beyond the 13z expiration time of Severe
Thunderstorm Watch 106. Some severe potential also could persist
downstream of the current watch, though north and east extent is
somewhat uncertain. A new watch, or a local watch extension will
likely be needed in the next hour or so.
..Leitman.. 04/03/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...
LAT...LON 33859877 34489576 34399464 33889441 32979495 32419639
32189815 32349875 32749908 33369911 33859877
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0375.html
date: 2025-04-02, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Mesoscale Discussion 0350
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0717 AM CDT Wed Apr 02 2025
Areas affected...portions of western to east-central MO
Concerning...Tornado Watch 94...96...
Valid 021217Z - 021415Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 94, 96 continues.
SUMMARY...Strong/damaging gusts and a couple of tornadoes remain
possible across WW 94 and 96 over west-central MO. A downstream
watch may be needed later this morning, though timing is uncertain.
DISCUSSION...Strong to severe thunderstorms continue near a surface
cold front across western MO this morning. Boundary layer moistening
is slowly occurring as an intense low-level jet streams over the
area, contributing to enlarged, looping hodographs. Some rotation
has been noted amid the somewhat messy storm mode early this
morning. Capping and weaker instability with eastward extent likely
is tempering severe potential somewhat, but isolated strong gusts, a
couple of tornadoes and sporadic large hail remain possible. This
convection will continue to propagate eastward through the morning
and some potential for a downstream watch into east-central MO
exists. However, timing is uncertain as destabilization is expected
to be more modest across eastern MO through the morning hours.
Trends will continue to be monitored.
..Leitman/Gleason.. 04/02/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...
LAT...LON 37939104 37849188 37919307 38159412 38449427 38779406
39179347 39429184 39299092 38789054 38249070 37939104
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0350.html
date: 2025-04-02, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Mesoscale Discussion 0349
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0657 AM CDT Wed Apr 02 2025
Areas affected...northeast OK into extreme southwest MO/northwest AR
Concerning...Tornado Watch 95...96...
Valid 021157Z - 021400Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 95, 96 continues.
SUMMARY...Damaging wind and tornado potential may be maximized
across northeast Oklahoma into extreme southwest Missouri/northwest
Arkansas over the next couple of hours.
DISCUSSION...Recent radar trends have shows some propensity for
linear convection to become more supercellular. This activity is
moving across the max STP corridor (effective layer STP around 5-7)
amid strong vertical shear and moderate instability. While some
rotation has been occurring, and even a brief TDS was noted over
Tulsa and Rogers Counties in northeast OK, capping and storm motion
parallel to the surface front is likely limiting the longevity of
stronger/better organized cells within the broader line of
convection. Nevertheless, a couple of tornadoes, damaging gusts and
isolated large hail remain possible this morning.
..Leitman.. 04/02/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...OUN...
LAT...LON 36889542 37099478 36869430 36399415 36069438 35629512
35449595 35509663 35979656 36809577 36889542
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0349.html
date: 2025-04-02, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
Mesoscale Discussion 0348
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0615 AM CDT Wed Apr 02 2025
Areas affected...portions of North Texas
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 021115Z - 021315Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated gusty winds and marginal hail to near 1 inch
possible this morning. Overall risk is expected to remain low and a
watch is not expected.
DISCUSSION...Elevated convection has developed along an
eastward-advancing cold front across western north Texas this
morning. Mid-60s dewpoints beneath steep midlevel lapse rates are
contributing to strong MLCAPE amid intense vertical shear. Capping
and modest linear forcing associated with the cold front will likely
preclude greater severe potential despite the favorable
thermodynamic and kinematic parameter space. Nevertheless, isolated
gusty winds and perhaps hail to near 1 inch diameter will be
possible. Watch issuance is not currently expected, but radar trends
will continue to be monitored through the morning.
..Leitman/Gleason.. 04/02/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...
LAT...LON 34059861 33029973 32549963 32369846 32579722 32849675
33279648 33709658 33809686 34059861
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0348.html
date: 2025-04-02, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 96 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LEITMAN..04/02/25 ATTN...WFO...TSA...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 96 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-021340- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON KSC011-021-037-021340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOURBON CHEROKEE CRAWFORD MOC009-011-015-029-039-043-057-059-077-085-097-105-109-119-131- 141-145-167-185-209-213-217-225-021340- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARRY BARTON BENTON CAMDEN CEDAR CHRISTIAN
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0096.html
date: 2025-04-02, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 96
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
520 AM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northwest Arkansas
Far Southeast Kansas
Southwest and Central Missouri
Eastern Oklahoma
* Effective this Wednesday morning from 520 AM until NOON CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms will continue to pose a threat of
scattered severe/damaging winds through the morning, with peak gusts
up to 65-75 mph. Embedded supercells should also have a tornado and
large hail risk, with a strong tornado possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
east and west of a line from 75 miles north of Springfield MO to 30
miles south southwest of Poteau OK. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 93...WW 94...WW 95...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25045.
...Gleason
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0096.html
date: 2025-04-02, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 95
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
245 AM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Oklahoma
* Effective this Wednesday morning from 245 AM until 1000 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to continue developing along a
cold front this morning. This convection should pose a threat for a
few tornadoes, scattered severe/damaging winds, and perhaps large
hail with any embedded supercells. A strong tornado appears
possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 95 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles west northwest of Bartlesville
OK to 50 miles southeast of Chickasha OK. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 92...WW 93...WW 94...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24045.
...Gleason
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0095.html
date: 2025-04-02, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 95 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W ADM TO 45 WNW MLC TO 20 S TUL TO 40 SSE CNU. ..LEITMAN..04/02/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 95 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC029-063-099-111-123-131-021340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COAL HUGHES MURRAY OKMULGEE PONTOTOC ROGERS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0095.html
date: 2025-04-02, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 94
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
230 AM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Far Eastern Kansas
Western and Northern Missouri
* Effective this Wednesday morning from 230 AM until 1000 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms is expected to move quickly east-
northeastward this morning while posing a threat for scattered
severe/damaging winds. Isolated large hail and a couple of tornadoes
may also occur.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles south of Olathe KS to 35 miles
north of Chillicothe MO. For a complete depiction of the watch see
the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 92...WW 93...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25045.
...Gleason
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0094.html
date: 2025-04-02, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 94 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE OJC TO 20 W SZL TO 30 NE SZL TO 30 N COU. ..LEITMAN..04/02/25 ATTN...WFO...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 94 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MOC013-053-083-089-101-159-195-021340- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BATES COOPER HENRY HOWARD JOHNSON PETTIS SALINE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0094.html
date: 2025-04-02, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 93 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE PNC TO 40 W CNU TO 20 E EMP TO 20 WNW OJC. ..LEITMAN..04/02/25 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 93 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC001-003-019-031-049-059-099-125-133-205-207-021040- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN ANDERSON CHAUTAUQUA COFFEY ELK FRANKLIN LABETTE MONTGOMERY NEOSHO WILSON WOODSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0093.html
date: 2025-03-31, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 85 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE CBM TO 40 WNW BHM TO 5 WSW HSV TO 50 W CHA. ..LEITMAN..03/31/25 ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 85 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC001-007-009-011-015-017-019-021-027-029-037-043-047-049-051- 055-063-065-071-073-081-085-087-089-091-095-101-103-105-107-111- 113-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-311340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUTAUGA BIBB BLOUNT BULLOCK CALHOUN CHAMBERS CHEROKEE CHILTON CLAY CLEBURNE COOSA CULLMAN DALLAS DEKALB ELMORE ETOWAH GREENE HALE JACKSON JEFFERSON LEE LOWNDES MACON MADISON MARENGO MARSHALL MONTGOMERY MORGAN PERRY PICKENS RANDOLPH RUSSELL ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA WALKER GAC047-055-083-295-311340- GA
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0085.html
date: 2025-03-31, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 85 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 445 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern and Central Alabama Far Northwest Georgia Northeast Mississippi * Effective this Monday morning from 445 AM until NOON CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Multiple lines and clusters of thunderstorms are expected to spread eastward this morning across much of northern/central Alabama and into far northwest Georgia. Scattered severe/damaging winds should be the main threat with this activity, although isolated hail and perhaps a tornado or two may also occur. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles northeast of Huntsville AL to 20 miles south southwest of Selma AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 81...WW 82...WW 83...WW 84... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27035. ...Gleason
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0085.html
date: 2025-03-31, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 86 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LEITMAN..03/31/25 ATTN...WFO...MOB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 86 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-013-023-025-035-039-041-053-097-099-129-131-311340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BUTLER CHOCTAW CLARKE CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW ESCAMBIA MOBILE MONROE WASHINGTON WILCOX FLC033-091-113-311340- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA MSC039-041-111-131-153-311340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GEORGE GREENE PERRY STONE WAYNE
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0086.html
date: 2025-03-31, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 86 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 605 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southern Alabama The Western Florida Panhandle Southeast Mississippi Coastal Waters * Effective this Monday morning and afternoon from 605 AM until 100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms will move eastward over the next several hours. Scattered severe/damaging winds with peak gusts up to 60-70 mph should be the main threat, although a tornado or two may also occur. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles north northwest of Evergreen AL to 30 miles southeast of Mobile AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 83...WW 84...WW 85... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27035. ...Gleason
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0086.html
date: 2025-03-31, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 84 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE LFT TO 35 NW MSY TO 35 NNW ASD TO 15 WSW PIB. ..LEITMAN..03/31/25 ATTN...WFO...LIX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 84 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC005-007-033-051-057-071-075-087-089-093-095-103-105-109-117- 311340- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ASCENSION ASSUMPTION EAST BATON ROUGE JEFFERSON LAFOURCHE ORLEANS PLAQUEMINES ST. BERNARD ST. CHARLES ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTISTST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA TERREBONNE WASHINGTON MSC045-047-059-109-311340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HANCOCK HARRISON JACKSON PEARL RIVER GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-311340- CW
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0084.html
date: 2025-03-31, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 84 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 345 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southeast Louisiana Southern Mississippi Coastal Waters * Effective this Monday morning from 345 AM until 1100 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to consolidate into a line as they move east-southeastward this morning. Scattered damaging winds should be the main threat, with peak gusts potentially up to 60-70 mph. Isolated large hail around 1-2 inches in diameter and a tornado or two may also occur. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles northwest of Houma LA to 20 miles south southeast of Slidell LA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 80...WW 81...WW 82...WW 83... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 28035. ...Gleason
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0084.html
date: 2025-03-31, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 83 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 NNW LCH TO 30 NNE LFT TO 35 NW PIB TO 60 SSE GWO TO 20 SE GWO TO 20 W CBM TO 20 N CBM. ..LEITMAN..03/31/25 ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...LCH... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 83 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC001-045-053-055-099-101-113-311240- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ACADIA IBERIA JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE ST. MARTIN ST. MARY VERMILION MSC007-019-023-025-031-035-061-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085- 087-091-099-101-103-105-123-129-159-311240- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATTALA CHOCTAW CLARKE CLAY COVINGTON FORREST JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN LOWNDES MARION NESHOBA NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA SCOTT SMITH WINSTON
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0083.html
date: 2025-03-31, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 83
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
135 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Far Southern Arkansas
Louisiana
Central Mississippi
Far East Texas
* Effective this Monday morning from 135 AM until 800 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to move east-northeastward
over the next several hours early this morning, while posing a
threat for scattered damaging winds up to 60-70 mph and large hail
around 1-2 inches in diameter. A tornado or two may also occur.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles south of
Columbus MS to 75 miles west of Fort Polk LA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 77...WW 78...WW 79...WW
80...WW 81...WW 82...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26035.
...Gleason
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0083.html
date: 2025-03-31, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 82 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW CHA TO 35 WSW TYS TO 5 WNW TYS TO 30 E TYS. ..LEITMAN..03/31/25 ATTN...WFO...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 82 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TNC009-011-065-105-107-115-121-123-139-153-311040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLOUNT BRADLEY HAMILTON LOUDON MCMINN MARION MEIGS MONROE POLK SEQUATCHIE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0082.html
date: 2025-03-31, from: NOAA tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks
STATUS REPORT ON WW 81 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E PBF TO 15 E UOX TO 45 SSE MKL. ..LEITMAN..03/31/25 ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...MEG...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 81 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC033-043-057-059-075-077-079-083-089-093-103-127-133-310940- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLBERT CULLMAN FAYETTE FRANKLIN LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON MARION MORGAN WALKER WINSTON MSC003-013-017-057-071-081-095-115-117-135-139-141-145-161- 310940- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALCORN CALHOUN CHICKASAW ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE LEE MONROE PONTOTOC PRENTISS TALLAHATCHIE TIPPAH TISHOMINGO UNION YALOBUSHA